Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah
Indonesia� p�ISSN: 2541-0849 e-ISSN:
2548-1398
Vol.
7, No. 11, November 2022
IMPACT OF ANONYMITY
BROKER ID ON MARKET QUALITY: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Farah Permanasari, Buddi Wibowo
Fakultas
Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Indonesia, Indonesia
E-mail:
[email protected]
Abstract
This study aims to determine
the effect of the implementation of Anonymity Broker ID on the quality of the
stock market on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The application of
Anonymity Broker ID is measured by dummy indicators over the period before and
after Anonymity Broker ID. Market quality measurement consists of high low
volatility of stocks, bid-ask-spread, total depth Value and volume. Hypothesis
Testing was carried out using Fixed Effect Ordinary least squares (OLS) and
Fixed Effect Two-Stage Least Square (2SLS) regression models and using a sample
of all stocks that were actively transacting during the period 04 December 2020
to 06 December 2022. The results provide empirical evidence that Anonymity
Broker ID has a positive effect on the volatility and Total depth Value of the
330 most active stocks, negatively effects on Bid Ask Spread and Volume. It can
generally be concluded that Anonymity Broker ID can effectively dampen
excessive market reaction during enactment.
Keywords:
Anonimity Broker ID, Transparency Broker ID, Volatility High low,
Bid-Ask-Spread, Total depth Value, Trading Volume.
Introduction
The
Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) effectively enforced Anonymity Broker ID on December 6,
2021, following a series of tests conducted by Broker to ensure that the Broker
Back Office system can accommodate Anonymity Broker ID. The Exchange's policy on enforcing Anonymity Broker ID on the transaction
system aims to create fairness in the formation of closing prices, minimize
sharp price movements and price adjustments at closing, increase transparency
of price formation, and boost transactions during pre-closing, in recognition
of IDX's efforts to safeguard investors. Although trade transparency can be one
of the parameters of a healthy financial market because it simplifies the price
formation process, encourages investors to trust the market and participate,
ensures the best execution, supports the development of fair trade, and enables
market participants to make more informed investment decisions (Schiona, 2016),
pre-trade or post-trade transparency cannot be eliminated entirely and must be
calibrated appropriately (Schiona, 2016). The IDX implemented Anonymity Broker ID pre-trade and post-trade
on December 6, 2021. This implementation is consistent with other exchanges'
implementations, particularly in Europe and Asia. This implementation is not
governed by any specific regulations and merely removes data from the
computerized trading system, namely the Jakarta Automated Trading System
(JATS). According to JCI data for the years 2019 to 2022, when Anonymity Broker ID goes into effect
in 2022, it is expected that there will be negative investor sentiment in the
short term and hysteria in the behavior of investors and the stock market as a
result. This indicates the potential for short-term investor opposition to the
implementation of Anonymity
Broker ID.
Figure 1. Indonesia JCI movement in 2020
s.d. 2022
Source:
www.finance.yahoo.com, processed
Based on data on Transaction Value and
Frequency for the period 2019 to.d., various results are obtained. In 2022, it
will be known that at the effective implementation of Anonymity Broker ID on
December 6, 2021, there was an increase in transaction value and frequency,
allowing for the possibility of long-term investor optimism and investor
support for the implementation of Anonymity Broker ID.
Figure 2: Variation in Transaction Value
and Frequency from 2019 to 2019. 2022
Source: Bloomberg, processed
Several
researchers, including Comerton-Forde, Frino, and Mollica (2005), have studied
the effect of Anonymity Broker ID on market quality on other exchanges. They
examined the effect of limit order anonymity on transaction liquidity in Paris,
Tokyo, and Korea. Since 2001, Euronext Paris Bourse has implemented Anonymity
Broker ID, which can reduce the bid-ask spread
relatively and effectively. The bid-ask spread was also reduced at the Tokyo
Stock Exchange, which had discontinued the Broker ID in 2003. It was unlike the
Korea Stock Exchange, which had implemented (displayed) Broker ID transparency
since 1995, resulting in decreased liquidity. Pham (2013) conducted a study on
the effect of Broker ID transparency and prices on transactions on the Korean
Exchange, which revealed more rapid price fluctuations. Based on IDX
monitoring, there was no decrease in volume and frequency of transactions from
the beginning of implementing the closing of the broker code until one week
after the implementation. In fact, volume and frequency increased compared to
the previous average. Given these circumstances, the authors conducted research
on Impact Of Anonymity Broker Id On Market Quality: Evidence From Indonesia Stock Exchange. The researcher
intends to replicate the work of Comerton-Forde, Frino, and Mollica (2005) for
his study of the Paris Stock Exchange (Euronext Paris), the Japan Exchange
Group (JSX), and the Korea Stock Exchange (KOSX). The originality of this study
originates from the fact that no previous study has examined the impact of
Anonymity Broker ID post trade on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
To reduce the
volatility of stock price fluctuations, maintain trading liquidity, and
preserve the integrity of the stock market, it is
necessary to anonym Broker ID. Based on research conducted in other countries,
it can be concluded that the impact of anonymity Broker ID on post trades on
other exchanges, particularly European and Asian exchanges, can reduce
transaction execution costs, increase liquidity, reduce front running arrests,
information leaks, and piggybacking, and tighten the bid-ask spread and
increase the depth of quotes. However, the disadvantages of this processing
include the dearth of information required by customers to conduct market
analysis, trading strategies, and/or algorithmic trading, to attract more
customers to the Capital Market, and to reduce market efficiency.
This study will
investigate how the Indonesia Stock Exchange's Market Quality is impacted by
the implementation of anonymity
Broker ID. By measuring volatility, spread, depth, and volume, the impact of
anonymity Broker ID on market quality is determined. Consequently, the
formulation of this study's problem is whether the implementation of anonymity
Broker ID policy has an impact on the market quality of the Indonesia Stock
Exchange as measured by market volatility and liquidity indicators (spread,
depth, and volume).
Motivation of this study was to determine the impact or influence of anonymity Broker
ID on the quality of the Indonesian stock
market which was assessed based on 4 factors, namely volatility, spread, depth
and volume through a sample of shares that are actively traded.
Research Methodology
This investigation is evaluated using
non-parametric analysis. Utilized the Paired T-Test, Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test,
and Mann-Whitney U Test to demonstrate the existence of differences in the following research variables: high
low volatility, quoted spread, total depth value, and volume for 330 companies
prior to and after Anonymity Broker ID. In addition, panel data regression was
used to test hypotheses regarding the effect of applying Anonymity Broker ID,
specifically the dummy independent variables for the period before and after applying
the Anonymity Broker ID on market quality in 330 stocks. If the Gauss-Markov
Theorem is satisfied, including non-autocorrelation, a decent panel data
regression will yield an estimation result, namely Best Linear Unbiased
Estimation ("BLUE"). This study employs control variables,
specifically transaction frequency, time trend, and market capitalization. All
of these variables are employed to forecast the quality level of the Indonesian
Stock Exchange's stock market, particularly for 330 stocks.
The
phases of this investigation are as follows:
1. Request Indonesia Stock Exchange
information obtained from Bloomberg and JATS
2. Descriptive statistics based on General
statistics of the data and the Wilcoxon Rank (Mann Whitney) test for two
samples
3. examine the classical hypotheses using the
Correlation Test, the Unit Root Test, the Shapiro-Wilk normality test, and the
Wald test
4. Examine the Determination of the
Estimation Method utilizing the F-Test, Hausman Test, and Breusch-Pagan
Lagrangian Multiplier test Regression analysis of a fixed effect model for
panel data using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
5. Testing Heteroskedasticity Using the
Modified Wald Test
6. Regression Analysis of Panel Data Using
the Two-Stage Least Square Model (2SLS) and
7. Model Interpretation.
The
following are operational variables used in this study
Price Volatility
�(1) where
Volait |
measurement of
volatility, high low volatility for each stock i on day t |
Num_Tradeit |
Transaction frequency
for each share i on day t |
Trendit |
Time trend uses the
number 1 and increases by 1 for each day of the time period under study |
TotalDepthValit |
daily average of the
total depth in Rupiah |
Dummyit |
a value of 0 for the
period before the anonymity Broker ID and 1 for the period before anonymity
Broker ID |
Quoted
Spread
�(2)
where
Spdit |
Measurement of the
quoted spread for each stock i on day t |
Volit |
Transaction volume for
each share i on day t |
Volait |
measurement of
volatility, high low volatility for each stock i on day t |
Trendit |
Time trend uses the
number 1 and increases by 1 for each day of the time period under study |
TotalDepthValit |
daily average of the
total depth in Rupiah |
Dummyit |
a value of 0 for the
period before the anonymity Broker ID and 1 for the period before anonymity
Broker ID |
Depth
�(3)
where
LogVol |
Transaction volume for
each stock i on day t is logged |
Volait |
measurement of
volatility, high low volatility for each stock i on day t |
Trendit |
Time trend uses the
number 1 and increases by 1 for each day of the time period under study |
Dummyit |
a value of 0 for the
period before the anonymity Broker ID and 1 for the period before anonymity
Broker ID |
Volume
�
where
Volit |
Transaction volume for
each share i on day t |
Volit-1 |
Transaction volume for
each share i on day t position 1 day before |
Spdit |
Measurement of the
quoted spread for each stock i on day t |
Volait |
measurement of
volatility, high low volatility for each stock i on day t |
MCap |
Market Capitalization
for each share i on day t |
Trendit |
Time trend uses the
number 1 and increases by 1 for each day of the time period under study |
TotalDepthValit |
daily average of the
total depth in Rupiah |
Dummyit |
a value of 0 for the
period before the anonymity Broker ID and 1 for the period before anonymity
Broker ID |
Discussion
High
Low Volatility
The significance
value for the volatility hypothesis test on the 330 most active stocks using
the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test is greater than 0.05, indicating that there is a
significant difference between the volatility of stock returns before and after
the implementation of Anonymity Broker ID. In the meantime, a Mann-Whitney U
test was conducted to compare the market quality of the 330 most active stocks
before and after the implementation of the Anonymity Broker ID. The results
indicated that the significance value of stock return volatility was less than
0.05, so it was possible to conclude that the return volatility of the 330 most
active stocks was significantly distinct. The volatility of high and low stocks
peaked prior to the implementation of Anonymity Broker ID and from December
2020 to February 2021, when the market was bearish due, in part, to the issue
of an invasion of war between Ukraine and Russia. In the meantime, Anonymity
Broker ID event in May 2022, which was accompanied by the largest decline in
the JCI, did not cause a sufficiently high volatility movement, as there were
multiple events, such as the policy of the United States central bank, which
raised its benchmark interest rate, and US inflation data, which remained
elevated, thereby creating a potential increase in volatility. Post-homecoming
issues in anticipation of a possible increase in COVID-19 and rising PPKM
levels, as well as plans to enforce the closure of foreign local investors' domiciles
beginning in June 2022, keep the Fed's interest rate in place.
Figure 3. Volatility High Low 330 Most Active Stocks
vs. JCI Movement Over Two Years
Source: Bloomberg, processed
With a sample of
330 of the most active stocks, volatility can explain each dependent variable
in Model 1 to the extent of 79.96%, while the difference is explained by
variables other than the independent variables used in this study. Based on the
estimation results of OLS and 2 SLS Fixed Effects, the relationship between trading
frequency and volatility is demonstrated to be more robust than previously
believed. By implementing endogenous corrections in Model 1 and emphasizing the
negative effect of the time trend variable on volatility with a significance
level of 5% and 0.1% for the 330 most active stocks, a significant positive
relationship is found between the logarithm of volatility and the logarithm of
depth at the Anonymity Broker ID. This contradicts the findings of Pham (2013).
In addition, volatility is substantially positively associated with the
Anonymity Broker ID, as measured by the volatility dummy coefficient with low
frequency data, which is 0.087249. This value suggests that events are
positively impacted by rapid market price fluctuations (based on a depth value
of 0.9814991) and increased transaction frequency, as indicated by a positive
value of 0.3485324.
Figure 4. Total
Percentage of Transactions Differentiated by Type of Investor During the 2020
to 2020 Period 2022
Source: Bloomberg, processed
During
the implementation of Anonymity Broker ID (2022), the total percentage value of
domestic investor transactions tends to decrease, indicating that domestic
investor transactions are based on analysis and are unaffected by Broker ID making
transactions or indicating whether the Broker ID is a foreign or domestic
Broker. To corroborate the results of the preceding non-parametric differential
test, the researchers also conducted a panel data regression hypothesis test to
determine the impact of Anonymity Broker ID on market quality and stock return
volatility for the 330 most active stocks. In this study, independent dummy
variables are employed for the time periods preceding and following the
implementation of the Anonymity Broker ID, transaction frequency, time trend or
time period, and total depth value. As described previously, the coefficients
of the regression equation for the effect of Anonymity Broker ID on the
volatility of high and low stocks for a sample of 330 active stocks are
obtained. Based on empirical evidence obtained from the regression equation
using the OLS Fixed Effect and 2SLS Fixed Effect methods, the Dummy coefficient
for the 330 most active stocks is significantly positive at 0.0891803 and
0.0872495 at a significance level of 1%. This indicates that the greater the
volatility of high and low stocks after the application of the Anonymity Broker
ID, the closer the number 1 is. The conclusion is therefore that Ha1 is
acceptable. Application of Anonymity Broker ID influences the volatility of
stock return volatility. This result is consistent with the findings of Pham's
(2013) study, which demonstrated that altering the Anonymity Broker ID by a
sufficiently large amount had a significant positive impact on volatility. In
addition, the effects of Depth, Transaction Frequency, and Time Trend were
examined. The estimation results from the 2SLS Fixed Effect regression model
indicate that Depth and Transaction Frequency are positively significant at a
significance level of 1%, indicating that Depth and Transaction Frequency have
a positive influence on stock return volatility. This indicates that when the
Depth and Transaction Frequency increase or become greater, high and low stock
volatility will also increase. The Anonymity Broker ID has a significant
negative impact on Time Trend at a significance level of 1%, indicating that
Time Trend has a negative effect of.0008933 on the high and low volatility of
stocks.
�Bid Ask Spread
There
is a significant difference between the bid-ask spread of the 330 most active
stocks before and after the Anonymity Broker ID, as determined by the different
bid-ask spread test and the volatility of high-low stocks. The Wilcoxon
Signed-Rank Test yields a significance value of 06,673 or greater than 0.05.
The researcher attempts to re-analyze the effect of applying the Anonymity
Broker ID to the bid-ask spread of the 330 most active stocks one year before
and after the implementation of asymmetric auto rejection. Using the Wilcoxon
Signed-Rank Test method, the results of the hypothesis test indicate a
significance value of 0.05, which is 6,673, so that H0 can be rejected,
demonstrating that there is a significant difference in the bid-ask spread of
the 330 most active stocks for 1 year prior to and after the entry into force
of Anonymity Broker ID.
To
support the proof of the non-parametric test, the researcher examined the
effect Anonymity Broker ID ID on the bid-ask spread of the 330 most active
stocks using the panel data regression hypothesis. The estimation results from
the regression model yielded the regression equation coefficients for the
effect of applying the Anonymity Broker ID to the bid-ask spread for the
research sample of 330 most active stocks. In the OLS Fixed Effect regression
model, there is a significant coefficient of the dummy variable with a positive
relationship of 0.0776675 before and after Anonymity Broker ID. When applied to
the 2SLS Fixed Effect regression model of negative -.2379917, the inverse
relationship is observed. Therefore, it can be concluded that the application
of Anonymity Broker ID influences the bid-ask spread of the 330 most active
stocks, and therefore Ha2 is accepted. Application of Anonymity Broker ID
influences the stock spread. Based on empirical evidence obtained from the regression
equations OLS Fixed Effect and 2 SLS Fixed Effect for Model 2 over Spread, it
has been determined that:
a.
consistent with previous research, Pham (2013) found that spread is
negatively related to volume in the 2SLS model of 3.633601 (the same is shown
in the OLS model of negative 0.0637999);
b.
the relationship between spread and volume in the OLS model is also
negative.
c.
The results of the Regression calculation also corroborate the negative
relationship between the dependent variable Spread and High Low Volatility,
whereas the 2SLS model indicates an insignificant negative relationship of
0.0077025. Spread and Volatility have a positive correlation of 0.2833932,
which reveals distinct phenomena.
d.
While the relationship between Spread and Total Depth Value in the 2SLS
model demonstrates a positive correlation of 5.835014, the OLS model also
demonstrates a positive correlation of.429119 for Depth.
e.
In the OLS model, there is no significant coefficient for the Trend
variable, despite its negative relationship with the spread; however, the
correlation value of 0.0003495 is minor.
Market Depth
Depth Value is the next variable that demonstrates a significant change
before and after the administration of the Anonymity Broker ID. The results of
the Total Depth Value different test demonstrate that the application of
Anonymity Broker ID affects the Total Depth Value of the 330 most actively
traded stocks. This is demonstrated by the significance value of 1,889 for the
Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test. Because the significance values of the shares are 5%
and 10%, it follows that H0 is accepted at the 5% level and rejected at the 10%
level, so it can be concluded that there is a significant difference between
the Total Depth Values of the 330 most active stocks. In the OLS Fixed Effect
regression model, there is a significant coefficient of the dummy variable with
a negative relationship of 0.0203902 before and after Anonymity Broker ID. When
applied to the 2SLS Fixed Effect regression model of 0.7855, the opposite relationship
occurs. Consequently, Ha3 was approved for the 330 most active shares. Ha3: The
Total Depth Value of shares is affected by the application of Anonymity Broker
ID. The outcomes of the regression analysis of Total Depth Value on the
explanatory variables volume, volatility, and time trend for changes in
Anonymity Broker ID. After controlling for changes in volume, volatility, and
time trend, the regression analysis results can be used to determine the effect
of changes in Anonymity Broker ID post-trade. Contrary to O'Hara (1995) and
Bortoli et al. (2006), there is a negative and statistically significant
relationship between Total Depth Value in rupiah and trading volume, with an
OLS Fixed Effect regression coefficient of -0.0385094 and a 2SLS Fixed Effect
regression coefficient of -0.1351643. There is also a positive and
statistically significant relationship between total Depth in rupiah and
volatility, with a positive OLS Fixed Effect regression coefficient of
0.2701725 and a positive 2SLS Fixed Effect regression coefficient of 0.8331096.
As shown by the substantially positive time trend coefficients for both OLS and
2SLS regressions, the measured depth exhibits an upward trend over time.
Changes in policy at the Indonesia Stock Exchange have a positive effect on
Market Depth as specified by OLS, which is significant for Total Depth.
Concurrently with the Anonymity Broker ID, the Indonesia Stock Exchange
implemented new arrangements for the pre-opening and pre-closing systems,
including the addition of the Indicative Equilibrium Price (IEP), Indicative
Equilibrium Volume (IEV), and random closing features, as well as the addition
of the market order feature and extension of trading time in the negotiated
market, which included the application of random closing. Consequently, any
changes to the estimated profundity are also influenced by this event.
Volume
Transaction Volume is the final variable that has
been shown to have significant differences before and after the implementation
of the Anonymity Broker ID. The outcomes of the various volume experiments demonstrate that the application of Anonymity Broker
ID affects the transaction volume of the 330 most active shares. The Wilcoxon
Signed-Rank Test significance value of 7,434 with a significance value of 5%
indicates that the null hypothesis (H0) is rejected at the 5% level, so it can
be concluded that there is a significant difference in Transaction Volume among
the 330 most active stocks. In the OLS Fixed Effect regression model, there is
a significant coefficient of the dummy variable with a negative relationship of
0.0766896 before and after Anonymity Broker ID. In the 2SLS Fixed Effect
method, a negative relationship with an extremely small value of
0.000000000000000347 also exists.
In conclusion, Ha4 was approved for the 330 most
active shares. Ha4: The application of Anonymity Broker ID impacts the volume
of share transactions.
The empirical evidence on the volume of the IDX
stock market indicates the following:
a. there is a
positive relationship between Volume and the volume of the previous trading
day, with an OLS estimate of 0.5583178 and a 2SLS estimate of 1. This
demonstrates the interrelationship between transaction volume and the volume of
the previous trading day.
b. There is a
positive relationship between volume and volatility with an OLS estimate of
0.790774 and a 2SLS estimate of 0.000000000000000688. An increase in
transaction volume corresponds to an increase in high low volatility, despite
the existence of several anomalous periods.
Figure 5. Graph of the relationship
between Volume and High Low Volatility
Source: Bloomberg, processed
According to the OLS estimate, there is a positive
relationship between volume and market capitalization of 0.545495. Analysing the relationship between transaction volume and
market capital, reveals that the criteria for large Market Capitalization are
stocks with Market Capitalization greater than the average Market
Capitalization value per day, and vice versa for small Market Capitalization.
The average number of issuers meeting the criteria for large market
capitalization is 54 per day, while the average number of issuers meeting the
criteria for minor market capitalization is 276 per day. So that it can be
determined that the volume of transactions in small Market Capitalization is
typically more volatile than in large Market Capitalization. With an OLS
estimate of 0.0004672, there is a positive relationship between volume and time
trend, indicating that volume tends to increase alongside the effective period
of the Anonymity Broker ID.In the OLS estimate, the relationship between volume
and spread and depth is negative, with a value of 0.0967888 and a depth of
1.016325, but in the 2SLS estimate, the relationship is positive, with a Spread
value of 0.0000000000000000694 and a depth value of 0.00000000000000111.
According to the 2SLS regression estimation, the total depth value and spread
will also increase as volume increases. These results were also consistent with
the 8.7% increase in the 20 highest Broker transactions and the 13.1% increase
for all of Broker.
Figure 6. Graph of the relationship
between Volume and Market Capitalization
Source: Bloomberg, processed
Conclusion
This study
examines the impact of anonymity broker ID on stock market quality for the 330
most actively traded stocks. Four key indicators, namely high-low stock
volatility, bid ask spread, total depth, and transaction volume proxies, are
analyzed to assess the effects. The results show significant differences in
stock volatility before and after the implementation of anonymity broker ID,
indicating a positive relationship between volatility and the logarithm of
depth at anonymity broker ID. The bid-ask spread narrows after the
implementation of anonymity broker ID. Additionally, the total depth value of
shares increases with anonymity broker ID, while the volume of stock
transactions decreases. Overall, the implementation of anonymity broker ID has
mixed effects on market quality, with smaller spreads and deeper depth
indicating improved liquidity, but higher volatility and reduced volume
suggesting declining market quality. The study suggests that regulators should
consider the effectiveness of anonymity broker ID and its impact on different
market capitalization companies. Furthermore, the anonymity broker ID aligns
with the concept of information inefficiency in markets, and regulatory
measures aim to increase transparency and equal access to information.
Technological advancements, including anonymity broker ID, have contributed to
narrowing the information gap and enhancing market transparency for investors.
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Copyright
holder: Farah Permanasari,
Buddi Wibowo (2022) |
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